Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 15.206635 17.273622 19.635790 22.561217 26.123668 30.369601 35.887753
2025-06-01 12.448557 14.994122 18.158667 22.468298 28.326681 36.238092 48.154076
2025-06-08 10.659949 13.309753 16.782150 21.813626 29.188352 40.089640 58.497664
2025-06-15 9.593665 12.327943 16.067685 21.775195 30.705330 45.031810 72.029002
2025-06-22 8.486230 11.123349 14.839485 20.725074 30.386379 46.883018 80.826563
2025-06-29 7.569467 10.076189 13.692382 19.591863 29.663041 47.784951 88.060639
2025-07-06 6.905016 9.322722 12.886780 18.864769 29.458997 49.526391 97.770150
2025-07-13 7.015331 9.711495 13.842445 21.130191 34.981263 63.966459 145.897356
2025-07-20 6.784624 9.553786 13.911066 21.876855 37.806085 73.758291 189.759788
2025-07-27 6.329890 9.005822 13.285171 21.282474 37.795362 76.942133 215.278111
2025-08-03 6.151791 8.881551 13.349271 21.969125 40.630676 88.311656 283.504217
2025-08-10 5.830141 8.498560 12.933299 21.674403 41.221268 93.873982 334.644045
2025-08-17 5.516673 8.121895 12.520975 21.388504 41.915038 100.503335 405.228039
2025-08-24 5.260100 7.823507 12.223567 21.303268 43.106709 109.412352 510.508609
2025-08-31 4.956268 7.423781 11.707808 20.694675 42.847511 113.417921 593.922241
2025-09-07 4.756171 7.188705 11.474411 20.658937 44.093945 123.594171 766.531618
2025-09-14 4.453679 6.757907 10.843546 19.681703 42.580940 122.512454 824.994001
2025-09-21 4.164147 6.335829 10.203635 18.625656 40.683626 119.262787 853.657950
2025-09-28 3.941386 6.021053 9.749420 17.947231 39.767010 119.928481 945.122936
2025-10-05 4.056255 6.310879 10.476449 20.058857 47.593251 165.458014 2291.525670
2025-10-12 4.002251 6.291416 10.593848 20.753472 51.311129 195.439757 4287.881788
2025-10-19 3.825929 6.037663 10.221588 20.200577 50.751495 200.562428 5463.473936
2025-10-26 3.775872 6.015234 10.318944 20.839265 54.506101 237.062438 12786.079933